I liked this comment from Jonathan Stuart-Brown and although a few of you might have seen similar before, I thought I’d put it up for debate, as both times it was posted late at night and might not have got the attention I feel it deserves.
It might be slightly out of date, due to last night’s games, but is still very relevant, in my opinion:
We should go for Troy Deeney at Watford. Eight goals in the last nine games. Goal per chance ratio is excellent in last few games.
A few goals from the bench might get the few points which separate a team from bottom three and £90 million Premier League TV paradise.
Worst case, very worst case, Villa will be within a few points of survival going into the last few games. They will not do a Wolves and declare on 22 points.
Very worst case, it will be tight with a late goal scored or conceded the decisive factor in relegation/survival.
Lerner/Lambert have won the Lottery this season in so many poor teams at the bottom.
Let us say QPR do spend big, the games are rapidly running out for them and a good Harry cup run could be a disaster for survival. They may need to win eight out of seventeen games to stay up. Maybe nine out of seventeen.
Reading look just short of a point a game and it is not lack of heart, effort or organisation. They’re just not good enough nor financially rich enough.
The Southampton game is a real 6 pointer.
Wigan will never do better than a point a game it seems.
Sunderland are doing badly and may not spend their way free of trouble this time. Johnson and Fletcher are top quality but the former has had a bad few months and the latter must be fed up of scoring goals for relegation fodder. MON might rescue Villa this season by taking Sunderland down on the last day. Poetic Justice.
Newcastle have lost 9 out of 11 and just sold the crown jewels to Chelsea.
Fulham are very worried and their best player is their manager and their second best player (Berbetov) is not built for relegation battles.
Even Norwich are going backwards.
West Ham will stay up because their manager does not do relegation.
But Villa only need a few more goals in the next few months to stay up this season, and Troy Deeney fits Lambert/Lerner’s spending/wage/age policy.
Losing every other game 10-0 will not matter if Villa win six or more games this season. Goals win games.